Digitus Impudicus

Newest Battleground Poll

Unaided ballot (ballot-taker had to come up with the name on his/her own):
Bush 44%
Kerry 40%
Nader 1%
Unsure 15%

"Favorability" rating:
Bush 53%
Kerry 51%

Bush job approval rating: 52%

Aided ballot (ballot-taker was provided the choices):
Bush 49%
Kerry 46% Other 5%
Nader 1%

Aided ballot (two choices only):
Bush 43%
Kerry 39%

Congress:
Democrat 43%
Republican 42%
Undecided 15%

Safeguarding America from a terrorist threat:
Bush 57%
Kerry 36%

Dealing with Iraq:
Bush 53%
Kerry 41%

Creating jobs:
Kerry 51%
Bush 41%

Keeping America prosperous:
Bush 48%
Kerry 44%

Is a strong leader:
Bush 54%
Kerry 39%

Shares your values:
Bush 50%
Kerry 43%

Note: Zogby has Bush down by 3. Over the two previous election cycles, Zogby has been shown to be the most accurate. But I don't ever recall Zogby being so out of step with the other polls (including Rasmussen). I think he has it wrong this time.

Note 2: Look again at the Congress number. I don't think I've ever seen those two numbers so close. Whenever the Reps get within a few points of the Dem number the Reps increase their numbers in the Congress (a result I've never understood - but there it is). Having the numbers this close might be an omen that the Reps are going to pick up quite a few seats. Long & Short: even if Kerry wins, he'll have a Republican Congress to deal with.